So far, Trump wins open primaries and Cruz wins closed … and the calendar is starting to change toward more closed primaries
" Following the South Carolina primary, an interesting article
by Michael Harrington went around Facebook that speculated that Donald
Trump’s victory in the South Carolina primary was attributable to
Democrats voting in the Republican (open) primary. One of the good
things about Harrington’s article is that he put out a testable
hypothesis — that turnout in the Democratic primary a few days later
would be less than 390,000. In fact, it was 367,000. Harrington concludes that had South Carolina had a closed primary, Ted Cruz would have won the primary there."
[Volokh Conspiracy]
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